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Robert --
Despite the media's attempt to prematurely crown Terry McAuliffe Governor of Virginia, despite New York City Mayor Bloomberg's millions, despite San Francisco environmentalist Tom Steyer's millions, and despite both Clintons and President Obama's last-minute campaigning...
This race is a toss up.
That's right - a complete toss up.
In the month of October, we have been outspent by a margin of more than three to one. Yet Terry still hasn't made the sale.
Why?
Because at the end of the day, despite McAuliffe's constant stream of lies, people still have to vote FOR someone. And voting FOR Terry McAuliffe is proving to be a difficult proposition.
The election is simple - and boils down to a few main points:
If you think Obamacare is a disaster for you, your family and business
If you think state government should not be run like an Obamacare website
If you think a tax increase of $1,700 per year is a bad idea for Virginia's families
Ken Cuccinelli is the only candidate with a record of fighting for Virginia and a substantive plan to create 58,000 jobs and ease tax burdens by $700 for every Virginia family.
He needs your help now more than ever. Will you chip in $25 now to help elect Ken Cuccinelli as Virginia's next Governor?
Sincerely,
Chris LaCivita
Cuccinelli for Governor
P.S. Here is the article about the poll:
Poll: Virginia governor race a nailbiter
Politico
Tal Kopan
October 30, 2013
With less than a week until Election Day, Virginia gubernatorial hopeful Terry McAuliffe holds a slim lead over Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli in a tightening race, according to a new poll on Wednesday.
McAuliffe leads Cuccinelli among likely voters 45 percent to 41 percent, with 9 percent for Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll. The edge is within the poll's margin of error.
The poll also found that if Sarvis were not in the race, likely voters would split for McAuliffe 47 percent to 45 percent, which Quinnipiac describes as "too close to call."
Last week, Quinnipiac polling showed McAuliffe up 46 percent to 39 percent.
Four percent of likely voters are still undecided, and 7 percent of those who chose a candidate said they might change their mind.
Only 62 percent of voters who chose Sarvis said they would definitely vote for him, with 18 percent saying the were likely to change their minds.
McAuliffe leads by double digits among women and independents, with Cuccinelli holding a 6 point lead among men.
With Nov. 5 falling on an off-election year, experts say turnout will be key to who wins the election on Tuesday.
Quinnipiac surveyed 1,182 likely voters from Oct. 22 to 28 for the poll, which has an error margin of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.
October 30, 2013 - Mcauliffe Up By 4 Points In Close Virginia Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Libertarian Has 9 Percent
Quinnipiac
Link to Demographic Summary: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/va/va10302013_demos_resw4m.pdf
The Virginia governor's race is going down to the wire with Democrat Terry McAuliffe clinging to a slight 45 - 41 percent likely voter lead over Republican State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, and 9 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to the results of an October 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing McAuliffe up 46 - 39 percent, with Sarvis at 10 percent.
Today's survey shows that if Sarvis were not in the race, McAuliffe would have 47 percent to 45 percent for Cuccinelli, too close to call.
In the three-way matchup, 4 percent of likely voters remain undecided and 7 percent of those who name a candidate say there's a "good chance" they will change their mind in the next six days.
McAuliffe leads 91 - 2 percent among Democrats, with 4 percent for Sarvis, while Cuccinelli leads 86 - 5 percent among Republicans, with 7 percent for Sarvis. Independent voters go to McAuliffe 46 - 31 percent, with 16 percent for Sarvis.
Women back the Democrat 50 - 37 percent, with 7 percent for Sarvis. Men go to Cuccinelli 45 - 39 percent with 11 percent for Sarvis.
"State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli is nipping at Terry McAuliffe's heels as the race to be Virginia's next governor enters the final week of the campaign," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "It goes without saying that turnout is the key to this race and the harshly negative tone of the campaign is the kind that often turns off voters."
"With the race this close, the final decision by the roughly one in 10 voters who are supporting Libertarian Robert Sarvis has become even more critical. Nationally, third-party candidates often lose support in the end as voters enter the voting booth and back someone they consider the lesser of two evils. Only six in 10 Sarvis supporters say they definitely will vote for him. Almost nine in 10 McAuliffe and Cuccinelli backers are committed.
"Cuccinelli seems to be benefitting from Republicans coming home, but McAuliffe still does a little better among Democrats than Cuccinelli does among GOPers. And, McAuliffe leads among independents, perhaps the key voting group. It is difficult to see Cuccinelli winning if he can't run at least even or slightly ahead among independents. Here, too, Sarvis' voters matter greatly since the libertarian is getting 16 percent of independents, but only 9 percent overall."
Virginia likely voters give McAuliffe a negative 41 - 46 percent favorability rating, compared to a negative 40 - 52 percent for Cuccinelli. For Sarvis, 75 percent don't know enough to form an opinion.
From October 22 - 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,182 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.
| PAID FOR AND AUTHORIZED BY KEN CUCCINELLI FOR GOVERNOR |
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